Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 115.169160 132.247883 151.960114 176.622941 206.978774 243.553950 2.916304e+02
2025-04-06 91.875117 113.186818 140.328528 178.277559 231.404339 305.497733 4.212717e+02
2025-04-13 78.307174 100.844325 131.427020 177.519557 248.238292 358.407771 5.566717e+02
2025-04-20 71.675483 95.807956 130.381124 186.066811 279.039585 440.308233 7.764960e+02
2025-04-27 67.911896 93.861979 132.922252 199.888153 321.320641 556.554753 1.133565e+03
2025-05-04 61.692042 87.253232 127.079100 198.482497 336.134440 626.636747 1.442514e+03
2025-05-11 57.264635 82.740979 123.739087 200.460250 357.546712 719.462639 1.898273e+03
2025-05-18 52.752572 77.521771 118.424566 197.681273 368.326066 792.535872 2.377609e+03
2025-05-25 49.806508 74.495891 116.389912 200.652616 392.360912 912.021463 3.208609e+03
2025-06-01 46.582731 70.657042 112.404889 198.958565 405.123043 1007.322934 4.118713e+03
2025-06-08 43.523602 66.804521 107.931005 195.458381 412.538327 1091.231533 5.176448e+03
2025-06-15 42.137840 65.716718 108.426584 202.652390 449.990624 1303.931773 7.865350e+03
2025-06-22 38.800527 61.136717 102.258744 195.153915 448.484051 1385.896686 1.008243e+04
2025-06-29 36.770602 58.774558 100.220316 197.054046 476.192302 1623.332954 1.627779e+04
2025-07-06 34.697865 56.126893 97.269209 196.187009 495.449606 1848.684700 2.608963e+04
2025-07-13 33.805482 55.584432 98.517532 205.974271 554.523487 2377.661715 6.410147e+04
2025-07-20 33.437169 55.990369 101.791622 221.846023 644.909352 3312.401032 3.017300e+05
2025-07-27 31.749981 53.664599 98.858112 220.229338 667.546751 3809.912595 1.059840e+06
2025-08-03 30.491952 52.083595 97.392308 222.504169 708.480241 4611.067584 1.939810e+07
2025-08-10 28.980406 49.872456 94.259785 219.308077 724.178658 5222.169683 NaN
2025-08-17 28.009767 48.688542 93.365267 222.725489 773.976125 6501.082884 NaN
2025-08-24 26.795526 46.910673 90.891754 220.776814 796.700018 7545.020218 NaN
2025-08-31 25.558655 45.002568 87.928324 216.753114 807.097341 8488.903635 NaN